Zitat von
http://www.oas.org/documents/eng/press/Electoral-Integrity-Analysis-Bolivia2019.pdf
Morales average vote share increased by over 15% compared to the previous 95%, while Mesa’s average vote share plunged by about the same percentage. This pattern is highly unusual. ... The final 5% of the data entered into the final count came from six departments (La Paz, Cocachamba, Oruro, Potosí, Chuquisaca, and Beni). While La Paz and Cochabamba are overrepresented because of the number of voting table they have, the curve should not be so marked.
Taking statistical projections into account, it is possible that candidate Morales came in first and candidate Mesa second. However, it is statistically unlikely that Morales obtained the 10% difference needed to avoid a second round.